The NASCAR circuit heads to the serpentine road course in Sonoma, CA for the one and only visit of 2017. While road course racing is not the usual fare in NASCAR and can be entertaining to watch it presents a unique set of challenges for the DFS player.
Do you focus on Dominator points? Do you go for place differential?
Obviously, we are going for maximum points and most weeks you build your line with two or three potential dominators, follow that with a couple of guys you expect will move forward, and then punts to fill out your roster in GPPs.
My philosophy in cash games is a bit different. I will usually take the lowest price dominator and then build a lineup of potential top 10 finishers around the dominator with the goal of not using a punt if possible. It seems backward to the way we usually have to think about lineup building. It may work across the board Sunday. Why? I don’t expect there to be a lot of dominator points because road course racing leads to different pit schedules. Most weeks the leaders want to pit together, on road courses it is the opposite. The teams want to get off-schedule if they can due to the length of the course making it possible to make a stop and not go a lap down. This is where this week’s place differential points will most likely come from. The teams that play the cautions just right will rack up the points.
Here are five drivers that will be in winning lineups come Sunday evening. The list is headed by the usual suspects.
Kyle Busch (10,200) —Busch has not had a good year by his standards but sooner or later he will break through and get that win. Busch has an average finish of fourth there over the last two seasons so Busch will be the foundation of a lot of lineups on Sunday.
Joey Logano ($9000) —No denying Joey has struggled since Richmond. This streak of rough luck will end at some point and Sonoma could be the place. Like Kyle, Joey has a 4th place average finish the last couple years and barring a DNF a top five finish is a high probability.
Kevin Harvick ($9,900) —Harvick should never be a total fade in any week assuming you run multiple lines. The 4 car is always in the hunt no matter the track or length of the race. Harvick has nothing but top tens at Sonoma since 2015.
Kurt Busch ($9,800) —Kurt is a tad pricey, but he could turn out to be worth every penny. Like his teammate Harvick, the elder Busch has been a consistent performer on the Sonoma road course.
Denny Hamlin ($8900) —This is just a hunch call. Hamlin has had success at Sonoma and at that price he could be a nice payout under five figures.
Others to watch
Newman ($7,900) Allmendinger ($9,500) Larson ($9,300) McMurray ($8,500) Jimmie Johnson ($9,600)
Good luck everybody!!!