JDM MLB Notes
Hey guys! JDM back again to help you navigate thru this 15 game slate on Fanduel. In addition, I would love to see/hear about the lineups everybody made and cashed so let me know on Twitter @DFS_JDM also give @Rotodojo a shout out if we help you cash. Again, as yesterday I will give you guys my three favorite pitchers and my hitter’s pool by position along with favorite stacks.
Chris Sale ($10,200) vs Tampa Bay Rays
Rays – 3.34 IRT / 22.2% K rate / Team wOBA 0.311 / Team ISO 0.159
Chris Sale stats – 35.2% K rate / 2.94 XFIP / 14.5% swinging strike rate
Chris Sale is my top pitcher on this massive 15 game slate. He should come into tonight with the highest ownership especially on FD. Sale obviously has not been himself this season posting a 4-9 record with a 4.05 ERA. However, the strikeout numbers are still there also that is not ignore his 2.99 SIERA compared to his 4.05 ERA he has been better than people expect this season besides his record. I am all for chalk Sale vs the Rays tonight.
Dallas Keuchel ($7,200) vs Kansas City Royals
Royals – 3.78 IRT / 21.0% K rate / Team wOBA 0.313 / Team ISO 0.161
Dallas Keuchel stats – 13.8% K rate / 4.54 XFIP / 58.1 GB%
Keuchel comes in tonight as a nice value on the slate and is one of two value arms I am looking at if pivoting off Sale. Keuchel is not a big strikeout guy thus his 13.8% K rate ever since signing with the Braves. However, Keuchel gets it down with getting a ton of groundballs and pitching to weak contact to get opponents out. The Braves are huge home favorites sitting at -220 so a win is definitely in line for Keuchel.
Merrill Kelly ($7,600) vs Baltimore Orioles
Orioles – 3.85 IRT / 23.7% K rate / Team wOBA 0.301 / Team ISO 0.165
Merrill Kelly stats – 18.9% K rate / 4.59 XFIP
Kelly is another value pitcher I like tonight facing the Baltimore Orioles away from Camden Yards. Kelly has been good of late. In his last five starts, he has given up no more than three earned runs in those five starts while picking up the win in 3/5 of them. The Orioles provide Kelly with a little strikeout upside as well as they sit with a 23.7% Team K rate and lose the DH.
Other pitchers I like – Matt Boyd (GPP)
Hitters by position (In no order)
C – Jorge Alfaro / Dodgers catcher / Tyler Flowers
1B – Joc Pederson / Carlos Santana / Freddie Freeman / Matt Adams
2B – Eduardo Escobar / Starlin Castro / Aledmys Diaz / Max Muncy
3B – Jake Lamb / Josh Donaldson / Brian Anderson / Jose Ramirez
SS – Alex Bregman / Francisco Lindor / Dansby Swanson / Corey Seager
OF ($$$) – Ronald Acuna / Cody Bellinger / Yordan Alvarez / Michael Brantley / Juan Soto / Aaron Hicks / Michael Brantley
OF ($) – Austin Riley / Greg Allen / Curtis Granderson / Jacob Bauers / Adam Eaton
Favorite Stacks – Dodgers / Braves / Indians / Dbacks / Astros / Marlins (value again but CY Covey)
Thank you for reading!