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Chris’ Lock List

chris picks

Chris’ Lock List

 

QUARTERBACKS

Matthew Stafford- This is a very sneaky spot for Stafford. Atlanta will be out 2 pass rushers (Beasley, Upshaw) in this game, which SHOULD be a shootout. Stafford has been very good to start the year completing 71% of his passes with 6 Td’s to 1 int. He’s been getting everyone involved offensively, which should continue against a Defense that ranks 25th against the pass this year. 
(Projection 337 yards 3 TD 1 INT)

Phillip Rivers- I have no idea why Rivers is price so cheap. Every year I write him off with his throwing motion and age, but he continues to produce. I LOVE Rivers this week, going against a D that’s down Eric Berry and in the bottom 3 against the pass. Rivers is completing 73% of his throws with 4 Td’s. Having Keenan Allen back is HUGE for Rivers and I expect that combo to be running on all cylinders this week. I want KC to get up in this game early. There will be plenty of volume to go around. 
(Projection 391 yards 2 TD’s)

Alex Smith- Now on the opposite side of Rivers, Alex Smith has been playing out of his mind this year. 77% completion, 310 yards per game 5 Td’s and took down the defending champs. Jason Verrett is out again for the Chargers and we saw what Jarvis Landry did last week. This should be another low owned QB in a nut spot, and weapons galore around him. (Extremely Low owned WR for Smith who scores…….Albert Wilson) 
(Projection 298 yards 3 TD’s)

RUNNING BACKS

TY Montgomery- This is more so a DK play because of PPR, but we’re going back to the well this week with TY. He’s averaging just over 3 yards per carry, but has caught 10 of 11 targets while scoring 3 TD’s. I expect TY to have a better day on the ground, but also be very involved in the passing game with Cobb expected to be out. He should actually come in lower owner as well, with most of the field paying up at RB this week. 
(Projection 15 Carries 89 yards 1 TD 9 targets 6 Catches 77 yards 1 TD)

Christian McCaffrey- I love almost everyone going against New Orleans defense. McCaffrey has so much upside in this game, I think he has a chance to be a top 5 back. He’s seen 12 targets in the first 2 games, along with 21 carries. New Orleans has allowed the most receiving yards to running backs, so I expect most of his damage to be done there. 
(Projection 11 carries 52 yards 8 targets 7 Catches 96 yards 1 TD)

Jay Ajayi- Eat the chalk……It’s the Jets
(Projection 172 yards 2 TD’s) 

WIDE RECEIVER 

DeAndre Hopkins- This is solely a volume based pick. DHop could possibly get 20 targets this week. Bill Belichick has already benched Malcolm Butler once this year for poor play. New England has not been good this year against the pass giving up 700 yards and 6 TD’s through the air. This will be the Watson and Hopkins show this week. 
(Projection 13 Catches 109 yards 1 TD…..Houston Win) 

DeSean Jackson- I usually don’t like to target receivers against Minnesota, but when so much attention will be on Mike Evans, Jackson should see a lot Trae Waynes. With a 36.6% rating at Corner, Waynes has given up plays of 51 and 52 yards, along with 2 Pass Interference penalties. He’s the most targeted defender in the Minnesota secondary. 
(Projection 5 catches 91 yards 1 TD)

Tyreke Hill- If I love Alex Smith, I have to love one of his weapons. Hill torched New England with 7 catches for 133 and a score. Then, disappointed with a 4 catch day for 43 yards. This week against a Charger defense down Verrett I expect at least 75% of what we saw from him in New England. The Chargers can put up points, which will help Hill get into the double-digit target category. 
(Projection 8 catches 117 1 TD)

TIGHT END

Jack Doyle- In his first full game with Jacoby Brissett, Doyle saw a 21% target share catching all 8 target for 79 yards. Cleveland has given up 19 receptions for 162 yards and 2 scores to tight ends so far this year. Doyle is Brissett’s security blanket and should pepper him with targets in a game that should be close. 
(Projection 7 receptions 83 yards 1 TD)

Jared Cook- With almost all of the attention from Washingtons secondary on Crabtree and Cooper, Jared Cook may quietly be the top producing playing in the game. Washington gives up 16.9 PPR points per game to tight ends, allowing 13 catches for 208 yards on the year. I expect both Raiders receivers to be blanketed all game, with Cook going one on one with Linebackers. This is a plus matchup and should be a prime spot for Cook to score. 
(Projection 5 catches 66 yards 1 TD)  

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